My first impression was that President
Bush is a moron, and he wants to declare war on a country
that isn't doing anything to us for political and/or personal
reasons. I then became aware that there are some really
legitimate reasons for going to war against Iraq (whether
those reasons actually justify doing it or not is another
issue). It looked like the United States was going to get
approval from the United Nations before doing anything, so
we'd be part of an international coalition, rather than
just starting a war ourselves. I began to think that maybe
Bush had simply messed up on the PR when he announced his
intentions (it's not like he's really adept at that sort of
thing), and that he was actually making the right decision.
And then Bush announced that we would
pursue our own agenda regardless of what the UN Security
Council decided, because we don't need their permission.
That made it clear that my first impression had been correct,
and going to the UN was just a ploy for PR and financial
support (everyone involved has to help with the costs of
rebuilding Iraq after we tear it down). Oh well. Maybe
it was the right thing to do - I didn't find France's
argument to be particularly convincing - but we weren't
going into it with the right reasons.
So, here we are. About 75% of
Americans support the war, and support has gone up from 35%
to roughly 55% among the British. We've been emphasizing
that civilians are not being targeted, and using smart bombs
to ensure that only military targets are hit, but this isn't
as comforting as it sounds to the people living there -
every window is broken within a half mile of our targets,
and nobody can sleep at night.
Here's an interesting thought. Compare
the number of coalition casualties due to A) enemy fire,
B) friendly fire, and C) helicopter accidents. And have you
noticed that most friendly fire incidents seem to be caused by
the US?
I've been listening to commentary on the
war on the BBC (I love the Internet). I think the weirdest
thing is when they take breaks from the war coverage to give
the latest status of cricket and soccer matches around the
world (Australia beat India the other day). It's not that
we don't have sports coverage in the US, but it's not those
sports and it's never outside our own country. Anyway, I
wouldn't say the BBC is completely unbiased and impartial -
but neither would they, which is why I'm more impressed with
them than with American media.
I think this war is about to get bloody.
I also think that when it's over, Iraq will be left in ruins,
and little will be done to rebuild. Of course there will be
humanitarian aid, but there was humanitarian aid before the war
began, and it won't be increased by as much as will be needed.
I hope I'm proven wrong.
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